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SMALL SECONDS THAT CHANGED MUCH: Immediately orm after the Swiss franc was released in January, everyday tougher for the country's export enterprises, such as clock manufacturers. Norwegian investment strategist believes, however, the Swiss were in excess negative. The picture shows an employee of clock manufacturer Piguet. Photo: Fabrice Coffrini afp Lowest future outlook in Switzerland since September 2011: - The weak figures should not be underestimated
The index has fallen drastically after the central bank in the country orm chose to frislippet Swiss franc against the euro, and cut its key rate to negative 0.75 percent.
Switzerland has for several years had a stable economic growth of between 1 and 2 percent, and fared relatively orm well during the financial crisis. SURPRISED: Senior Investment Strategist orm Ole Morten Nafstad was surprised Wednesday weak numbers. Photo: Johnny Syversen
- The surprising effects of frislippet between the Swiss franc and the euro with its consequences may have contributed to analysts who have been interviewed have been more negative than it is evidence, says Nafstad.
Nordea strategist orm Nafstad think frislippet of the franc and the challenges it created for the export industry combined with market conditions orm in Europe helped to form the basis for the gloomy outlook that was presented in Wednesday Zew index. SAVING THEMSELVES: - Switzerland has the opportunity to save themselves, said currency strategist Magne Østnor DNB Markets. Photo: Javad Parsa Read also: Crisis Mood in Switzerland
Nafstad Nordea not be surprised if the first quarterly for the economy is weaker than that underlay before binding against the euro was taken away, but that half of the movement against the euro reversed since the bond was removed making sure there is talk about some recession.
He refers to the equity index "MSCI Europe" where the Swiss economy is weighted 14.2 percent and thus marginally more than neighboring Germany weighted 14.1 percent. In comparison, Switzerland around orm eight million inhabitants and Germany more than ten times as many of its 80 million inhabitants.
Company Figures Nafstad acquires shows a sharp drop in the valuation of Swiss shares in connection frislippet of the franc, but this is raised again since then, and relative to the broad European market has the Swiss developed in line this year.
- The country's stock market has also defensive qualities with several solid companies within the financial, health and food industry, orm which has a greater stability in that the fluctuations are smaller relative to the broad European market. The country should not be underestimated, says investment strategist Nafstad.
Nordea Markets estimates that franc will depreciate to 7.27 measured against Norwegian kroner by the end of 2016. At this writing swings franc around eight million. Read also: The Swiss central bank with negative rate Facebook Twitter LinkedIn Email
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